Home / Questions / Oxford Mixer Inc sells can openers Its monthly sales for a seven-month period were as foll...
1. Oxford Mixer Inc. sells can openers. Its monthly sales for a seven-month period were as follows: Sales Month (Unit 1000) Feb 19 18 March April 15 20 May Tune 18 223 July August 18 We made forecasted September sales volume using each of the following: (1) Naive Approach (2) A two-month moving average (3) A five-month moving average (4) A weighted average using 0.60 for August, 0.30 for July, and 0.10 for June (5) Exponential smoothing with a smoothing constant equal to 0.40, assuming February forecast of 19. Please see the attached EXCEL file for the results of forecasting. Which method seems most appropriate and least appropriate? Why? (Please compute only ONE forecasting error, Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) and compare one another.)
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